Why President Roxas And Vice President Trillanes May End Up Escalating the Ukraine-Russia Conflict Into A Full-Blown Nuclear Apocalypse

 

I remembered writing several pieces of what if Mar Roxas and Antonio Trillanes IV won the 2016 elections. Let's just say (God-willing) that the Philippines has managed to survive their reign from 2016-2022. Let's say that both Roxas and Trillanes are now outgoing with their posts. The Philippines has managed to survive the botched COVID-19 vaccine program, a couple of typhoons, and just everything else. The recent Ukraine-Russia conflict has me saying that Russia is definitely in the wrong. The citizens of Ukraine and some citizens of Russia are protesting against such an action. Now, it would be time to write yet another post to calm the nerves. I wrote about how Roxas and Trillanes may have bungled up the US-Iranian Crisis. Now, let's imagine what if Roxas and Trillanes were president while the recent conflict is going on.

I may not agree with Vice President Leni Loud Robredo all the time. However, she's actually RIGHT in saying that the Philippines shouldn't meddle. President Rodrigo R. Duterte is making safety of Filipinos in Ukraine a priority. Now, let's just imagine if we had President Manuel A. Roxas II and Vice President Antonio Trillanes IV. Roxas and Trillanes might end up triggering it even more. Sure, Leni Loud is tactless to bring up the China-Philippines tension. However, Trillanes does display more energy to be tactless than Leni Loud. Roxas may have already gone to war or even intervened in the war.

What I can imagine right now is another bungled up operation. Granted, in this alternate universe, we had Donald J. Trumped replaced with Joe Biden as the American president. Chances are Roxas and Trillanes will probably dip their finger in the pie. I think some people misunderstand the diplomatic ties with Russia and China. First and foremost, the real problem are the governments that rule Russia and China. Some Russians and Chinese are but victims of a cruel administration. Jack Ma didn't speak to La Salle to declare the Philippines' surrender to China. Ma was later victimized by Emperor Xi Jinping's rather cruel regime. Many Chinese businessmen and celebrities tend to suddenly disappear under the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). It's important to avoid Russia and China from CRUSHING the Philippines. Taiwan can defend itself. Ukraine may currently have the capacity to defend itself. The Philippines' military would be a goner if it had to face an invasion. That's why I'm glad that Gary Alejano isn't the head of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP ) but he would be IF Roxas and Trillanes won the elections.

I could imagine Roxas may say at the end of his term that we need to take sides. However, this wouldn't be like how the other countries are cutting economic ties. For example, Singapore and South Korea have revealed to have banking and trade restrictions with Russia. If Leni Loud proposes that then I'm fine with it. However, it would look like Roxas and Trillanes will try to be heroes (AGAIN) and fail. Their failures will continue to pile up even until the end of their term. It would be a miracle of Filipinos lived from 2016 to 2022 with those two highly educated clowns in power. Just because one is highly educated doesn't mean one isn't an idiot. Just because one has a high IQ doesn't mean one isn't an idiot in real life matters.

Chances are that Roxas may offer the assistance of Alejano's Magdaldal Special Forces Unit. Maybe, Trllanes will be sent to Ukraine to asses the situation. Now, just imagine how Trillanes and Alejano would have their Magdaldal troops to "assist" the citizens of Ukraine. Maybe, chances are that Roxas may go to Ukraine with the ABiaS-CBN crew, CNN crew, and Rappler crew to name a few. I could imagine if Maria Ressa may get a bigger chance of a lifetime to cover the Ukraine conflict if Roxas and Trillanes won last 2016. Chances are we might see updates of Roxas "helping" the citizens of Ukraine leave for higher area. Trillanes may end up preparing to do an Oakwood Mutiny style of attack against the Russian Army. At this point, maybe both Roxas and Trillanes will agree that their wives may run for office if they don't make it. Plus, we may have Leni Loud act as acting president until the 2022 elections.

I could imagine how Trillanes and Alejano may suggest to do the same blunders all over again. The two of them never learned from their TWO MAJOR FAILED MUTINIES - the Manila Peninsula Siege and the Oakwood Mutiny. Those two major mutinies that happened under the reign of former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo were uncalled for. Sure, I still don't like Gloria but what they did was wrong. It does seem that Gloria, in spite of her wrongdoings, actually had given the late Noynoy Aquino a blueprint to follow. I could imagine how Trillanes' Magdaldal troops and the Ukraine army may end up having a FAILED collaboration. Maybe, Trillanes may even attempt to overthrow President Vladimir Putin of Russia the same way he attempted to overthrow Gloria. However, unlike Gloria, Putin has weapons of mass destruction that could potentially cause a war when they're fired. Chances are that the Ukraine soldiers cooperating with the Magdaldal forces will just end up in failure. Either Trillanes becomes a war prisoner with his troops or they get incinerated.

The next worst possible scenario is that Trillanes DIES from his attempt to overthrow Putin. Roxas may declare a heroes' funeral (which may launch Arlene Orejana-Trillanes' candidacy) for Trillanes. Rather than be diplomatic - chances are Roxas will cuss at Russia's Putin. Maybe, Roxas will probably have to deal with the remains of Alejano too. Roxas may end up barging into Putin's office to be tactless. Chances are Roxas may end up bungling the whole negotiation for a ceasefire. Instead, it would end up with Russia deciding to attack the Philippines instead. The chain reaction can be rather deadly as Russia may ask help from China to do so. Just imagine if China decides to send some of its forces to batter up Taiwan and the other forces to batter up the Philippines. Though, the reaction may be even greater as it may become a worldwide domino. Nuclear weapons are here left and right, right? Just imagine if one country after the other fire nuclear missiles creating a nuclear war.

That's why it's important to have knowledge in geopolitics. Sometimes, you need to have diplomatic ties to avoid conflict with an enemy you know you can't defeat. Sometimes, you need to select the right allies. Vietnam and Taiwan have made good allies in regards to the situation with China. I'm not an expert at geopolitics either. However, I'm just glad that both Roxas and Trillanes didn't win the 2016 elections even if I'm questioning decisions by Duterte and Leni Loud right now.